Results & the public registry
This page is the technical record: live numbers, the registered success criteria, and the tamper-evident registry of everything we have ever tried — including what failed.
Live: the benchmark to beat
A sleeve-matched passive blend, frozen at registration on July 18, 2026: 22.5% QQQ, 27.5% QUAL, 17.5% AVUV, 12.5% XBI, 10% VOO, 10% BIL. Beating an easier benchmark is a parlor trick; this one matches our own allocation, so any edge must come from selection, not risk-taking. Secondary criterion: beat VOO outright. Both required.
| Series | 1-day | Since Jul 17, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Viveka blend | -0.68% | — |
| VOO | -1.04% | — |
| SPY | -1.01% | — |
| QQQ | -1.50% | — |
| IWM | -0.52% | — |
| XBI | +1.51% | — |
Total-return basis (dividend-adjusted, Alpaca IEX feed; closes can differ slightly from official prints). Official measurement is computed in the lab's repository, not on this page. The paper portfolio comparison appears here once the first orders are placed. Daily numbers are descriptive — the registered criterion is evaluated once, at window close. No interim verdicts.
The public registry
Finance has no equivalent of a clinical-trials registry — strategies get announced only after they work. Ours is public: every strategy and success criterion is SHA-256-hashed and timestamped before it runs, every variant ever tried is counted, and reported statistics are deflated for the number of attempts. Failures stay on the books permanently.
| Registered object | Track | UTC timestamp | SHA-256 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trimmed Index V1 | Track A | 2026-07-18T20:51:01Z | 5be0a84e3b289ac3… | unrunnable |
| Trimmed Index V2 | Track A | 2026-07-18T20:54:32Z | ee1415e98c65328f… | KILLED by pre-registered criteria |
| Track B success criteria v1 | Track B | 2026-07-18T22:19:19Z | 8d9a7cc25a30c01e… | ACTIVE |
Each hash is reproducible from the frozen document text. The cumulative trial count feeds the deflated-Sharpe penalty on every statistic we report.
Exhibit A — our first kill. "Trimmed Index V2" (Track A) was evaluated against its own pre-registered criteria and killed: post-tax 6.46%/yr vs 8.64% for the S&P 500 (top federal bracket + MA state tax). The underlying quality signal was real; after-tax implementation destroyed it. Taxes were ~142× larger than trading costs. That finding is worth more than a lucky backtest.
Signal evidence base
Signal families are chosen from the strongest replicated academic evidence (profitability, conservative investment, momentum — in investable, non-microcap form), with published premia haircut ~50% for post-publication decay and short-horizon signals rejected as cost-killed by default. Where the literature has no trustworthy answer — AI-based analysis, industry-specific signals, adaptive learning loops — we treat our own forward results as the experiment that fills the gap.
How we got here, and the rules we can't break: About the lab →